Clinical Prognostic Score to Predict Relapse in VL

Trial statusRecruiting
Trial phaseNot listed
Trial typeObservational
Biological sexAll
Age12+
SponsorInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Belgium

About this trial

This prospective cohort study has the aim to develop a prognostic tool to predict relapse in patients suffering from visceral leishmaniasis (VL) from VL endemic regions in Ethiopia.

Therefore, comprehensive clinical and laboratory characterization of all confirmed VL patients before and during treatment will be performed in order to identify the factors that determine prognosis of the patients. This approach would result in more efficient patient care and would reduce the case fatality and morbidity, and improve follow-up and care for those at risk of VL relapse.

Eligibility criteria

This trial does not accept healthy volunteers

Qualifiers

clinically or parasitologically confirmed VL

Disqualifiers

Age under 12 years

VL patients already on treatment for 3 days or more

Severe critical condition or other circumstances that make the study medically inadvisable

Unlikely to adhere to follow up visits during the study period (e.g. patients who live or work very far away) AND not reachable by phone for follow-up information

Trial population

Patients with clinically or parasitologically confirmed VL in Northern Ethiopia

Trial design

Design model

Cohort

Time perspective

Prospective

Treatments tested in this trial

  • No intervention

    Other intervention

    No intervention

Treatment groups

741 Participants
are divided into 1 treatment group
Group A: VL patients1 intervention

Trial outcomes

Primary outcomes

1

Identification of risk factors for relapse

The association between development of relapse and potential risk factors (demographic/clinical characteristics as well as host immunity/Leishmania infection markers)

Time frame
December 2026
2

Prognostic tool for relapse

A clinical decision algorithm, prioritizing and integrating identified risk factors, that is able to most efficiently predict the risk of developing relapse within 12 months after start of treatment

Time frame
December 2026

Secondary outcomes

1

Patterns in host immune markers for VL relapse, treatment failure and death

The association between the risk of VL relapse/ treatment failure/ death and the levels and evolution of the different host immune markers.

Time frame
December 2026
2

Identification of risk factors for treatment failure

The association between the occurence of treatment failure and potential risk factors (demographic/clinical characteristics as well as host immunity/Leishmania infection markers)

Time frame
December 2026
3

Identification of risk factors for death

The association between occurrence of death and potential risk factors (demographic/clinical characteristics as well as host immunity/Leishmania infection markers)

Time frame
December 2026

Other outcomes

Sponsors and contacts

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