About this trial
Duodenal cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related mortality in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP), yet the current Spigelman staging system provides limited predictive accuracy for advanced neoplasia. The DRACO study (Duodenal Risk Assessment in adenomatous polyposis Coli -Oncogene) is a multicenter, STROBE- and CONSORT-compliant cohort study that analyzes upper endoscopies from genetically confirmed FAP patients across independent cohorts to develop, validate, and externally test two multivariable risk models.
Eligibility criteria
This trial does not accept healthy volunteersQualifiers
Confirmed germline diagnosis of FAP, as defined by genetic testing
Two or more upper gastrointestinal endoscopies
Complete documentation of all Spigelman classification variables at each endoscopic evaluation
Disqualifiers
Histological grading of duodenal polyps incomplete
Follow-up data were unavailable
Duodenal surgery before study baseline endoscopy
Trial population
Individuals with familial adenomatous polyposis, defined by a pathogenic/likely pathogenic germline Adenonomatous Polyposis Coli (APC) gene variant, undergoing surveillance for duodenal polyposis using esophagogastroduondeoscopy (EGD)
Trial design
Case-control
Retrospective
Treatments tested in this trial
DRACO
Diagnostic testA novel endoscopic classification to predict the risk of duodenal and ampullary high-grade dysplasia and cancer from baseline esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD)
Treatment groups
6
Treatment groupsSee each treatment group below.
Trial outcomes
Primary outcomes
Sensitivity
True Positivity Rate: the probability of a positive test result, conditioned on the individual truly developing duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia or adenocarcinoma
Secondary outcomes
Specificity
True Negative Rate: the probability of a negative test result, conditioned on the individual being truly free from duodenal or ampullary high-grade dysplasia or adenocarcinoma
Proportion of correct predictions (true positives and true negatives) among the total cases (i.e., accuracy)
A measure of trueness: proportion of correct predictions (both true positives and true negatives) among the total number of cases examined
Sponsors and contacts
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Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milano
Lead sponsor
IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele
Collaborator