Etiology and Prognostic Factors in Patients With Acute Liver Failure

Trial statusNot yet recruiting
Trial phaseNot listed
Trial typeObservational
Biological sexAll
AgeNot listed
SponsorLi-Ying Sun

About this trial

Acute liver failure (ALF) is a rare but life-threatening condition with high mortality. Despite advances in supportive care and liver transplantation, prognosis varies significantly across etiologies, particularly in patients with indeterminate causes.

This study aims to investigate the dynamic changes of clinical and biochemical indicators, identify potential etiologies-especially in indeterminate ALF-and evaluate prognostic risk factors. A dynamic prediction model will be developed to optimize clinical decision-making, including liver transplantation timing.

Both retrospective and prospective cohorts will be included. Multi-omics analyses (including transcriptomics, proteomics, metabolomics, and metagenomic sequencing) will be performed on liver tissue and biological samples to explore disease mechanisms and etiology.

Eligibility criteria

This trial does not accept healthy volunteers

Qualifiers

Patients (or guardians) who provide informed consent

Disqualifiers

Presence of end-stage extrahepatic disease without effective treatment

Pregnant or breastfeeding women

Inability or unwillingness to provide informed consent or comply with study procedures

Trial population

The study population consists of patients diagnosed with acute liver failure who are treated at Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University. Both adult and pediatric patients meeting established diagnostic criteria for acute liver failure will be included. The study includes two cohorts: a retrospective cohort of patients treated between November 2016 and February 2026, and a prospective cohort of newly diagnosed patients enrolled from March 2026 onward. Patients will be followed longitudinally to evaluate clinical outcomes, including survival, liver transplantation, and transplant-free survival.

Trial design

Design model

Cohort

Time perspective

Other

Treatments tested in this trial

Not listed

Trial groups

400 Participants
are grouped into 3 trial groups
Group A: Liver transplantation
Group B: Spontaneous survival
Group C: Death

Trial outcomes

Primary outcomes

1

Overall Survival

Time frame
Up to 3 years after enrollment (every 3 months during the first year, then annually until year 3)
2

Transplant-Free Survival

Time frame
Up to 3 years after enrollment (every 3 months during the first year, then annually until year 3)
3

Liver Transplantation Rate

Time frame
Up to 3 years after enrollment (every 3 months during the first year, then annually until year 3

Secondary outcomes

1

Etiologic features identified by multi-omics analysis

Etiologic features in participants with acute liver failure will be assessed through multi-omics analyses of biospecimens, including liver tissue obtained from resected diseased liver during surgery (approximately 3 cm³) or from one ultrasound-guided liver biopsy core (approximately 2 cm in length), together with blood, urine, and stool samples. Multi-omics testing includes transcriptomic sequencing, proteomic analysis, metabolomic analysis, and metagenomic sequencing.

Time frame
From enrollment to completion of biospecimen collection and etiologic multi-omics assessment, up to 7 days
2

Short-Term Mortality

Time frame
90 days after enrollment
3

Development of Prognostic Prediction Model

A prognostic model will be developed using clinical variables, laboratory parameters, and dynamic changes over time. Multivariable logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis will be used to evaluate model performance, including discrimination and calibration.

Time frame
Up to 3 years after enrollment
4

Change in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) over time

Serial serum ALT measurements will be obtained every 48 hours from admission until discharge to assess dynamic changes during hospitalization.

Time frame
Every 48 hours from admission to discharge, assessed up to 30 days

Other outcomes

Locations

This trial has no locations.

Sponsors and contacts

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Li-Ying Sun

Lead sponsor

Beijing Friendship Hospital

Sponsor institution

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