PREDICATE Trial For Respiratory Tract Infections

Trial statusRecruiting
Trial phasePhase 3
Trial typeInterventional
Biological sexAll
Age18+
SponsorThe University of Hong Kong

About this trial

Background

The goal of this clinical trial is to learn if prednisolone works to treat moderate to severe respiratory tract infections in adults admitted to hospital. It will also learn about the safety of prednisolone in this context. The main questions it aims to answer are:

Does prednisolone lower the number of participants who develop sepsis or who survive? What medical problems do participants have when taking prednisolone? Researchers will compare prednisolone to a placebo (a look-alike substance that contains no drug) to see if prednisolone works to treat respiratory tract infections in adults.

Participants will:

Take prednisolone 30mg or a placebo every day for 5 days. Complete a daily diary of symptoms for 30 days and have telephone follow up. Investigators propose to recruit 1300 patients, 650 in each group. The Trial will be conducted in the Emergency Departments and wards of hospitals in Hong Kong.

Investigators expect the proportion of patients admitted to the hospital who develop sepsis or who die within 30 days to be reduced from 25% to 18% after taking active treatment. Secondly, investigators expect any difference in the proportion of patients with Serious adverse events(SAEs) not to exceed 5% between active treatment group and control.

Benefits to Hong Kong and Worldwide: Active treatments (e.g. prednisolone are cheap, HK$0.2 per 5mg tablet) are widely available across the world. Any reduction of progression to sepsis and death if applied worldwide would improve the lives of millions of patients and save millions of dollars of healthcare costs.

Eligibility criteria

This trial does not accept healthy volunteers

Qualifiers

Adults ≥18 years of age; AND

scARI; AND

Intended hospitalisation; AND

No medical history that might, in the opinion of the attending clinician, put the patient at significant risk if he/she were to participate in the trial

Disqualifiers

Vulnerable subjects (pregnancy; cognitively impaired; prisoners; students; umemployee; minorities);

Cardiac arrest or post-cardiac arrest ROSC;

Not expected to survive 3 days due to pre-existing chronic disease;

Palliative (comfort) care

Trial design

Design model

Parallel

Treatments tested in this trial

  • Prednisolone 30 mg

    Drug

    This is a glucocorticoid like cortisol used for its anti-inflammatory, immunosuppressive, anti-neoplastic and vasoconstrictive effects. It binds to the glucocorticoid receptor, inhibiting pro-inflammatory signals and promoting anti-inflammatory signals. It has a short duration of action as the half-life is 2.1-3.5 hours and 98% is eliminated in urine. On 21 June 1955 it was granted FDA approval.

  • Placebo

    Drug

    This a tablet identical to prednisolone.

Treatment groups

1,300 Participants
are divided into 2 treatment groups
Group A: Placebo + usual carePlacebo comparator 1 intervention
Group B: Active Treatment I + usual careActive comparator 1 intervention

Trial outcomes

Primary outcomes

1

30-day all-cause sepsis or all-cause mortality

The proportion of patients with all-cause sepsis or all-cause mortality

Time frame
Up to 30-days
2

30-day Severe Adverse Events

The proportion of patients with an SAE

Time frame
Up to 30-days

Secondary outcomes

1

Maximal WHO Clinical Progression Scale(WHO-CPS)

Differentiation of median maximal WHO-CPS hospitalised patients with scARI. \[0 - not infected\] Ambulatory mild disease 1. Not hospitalised, asymptomatic, no limitation on activities, virus detected; 2. Not hospitalised, symptomatic, independent 3. Not hospitalised, limitation on activities, assistance required; Hospitalised moderate disease 4. Hospitalised, not requiring supplemental oxygen; 5. Hospitalised, requiring supplemental oxygen; Hospitalised severe disease 6. Hospitalised, on oxygen by Non-invasive ventilation(NIV) or high flow; 7. Hospitalised, intubation and mechanical ventilation 8. Hospitalised, mechanical ventilation or vasopressors 9. Hospitalised, mechanical ventilation, vasopressors, dialysis or Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(ECMO); 10. Death.

Time frame
Up to 30-days
2

Mortality

The proportion of patients with mortality

Time frame
Up to 30-days
3

Sepsis

The proportion of patients with sepsis

Time frame
Up to 30-days
4

Length of Hospital Stay

Differentiation of median length of stay

Time frame
Up to 30-days

Other outcomes

Sponsors and contacts

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