About this trial
Hemodynamic change after induction of general anesthesia is usually judged from mean arterial pressure. Pressure, however, is a surrogate for flow, and the two can separate: cardiac output may fall while arterial pressure remains apparently adequate. The interval that follows induction of anesthesia, before surgical stimulation begins and while hemodynamic conditions are determined by anesthetic management alone, has not been characterized in terms of flow. This study is designed to define post-induction low cardiac output (PiLCOs) in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting.
This is a prospective, observational, two-centre cohort study. Consecutive adults undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting with cardiopulmonary bypass at two tertiary cardiovascular surgery centre will be enrolled. No aspect of anesthetic or surgical management will be altered for the purposes of the study. An arterial catheter is sited before induction while the patient is awake, and cardiac index is recorded continuously at 30-second intervals by arterial waveform analysis. Mean arterial pressure, heart rate, stroke volume index and cardiac index are recorded at the same resolution.
The analysis window is the 30 minutes that follow induction of anesthesia. The period of cardiopulmonary bypass is excluded from all analyses, because flow during bypass is generated by the pump rather than by the heart.
The primary outcome has two components, both defined over that window and both referenced to a cardiac index threshold of 2.0 L/min/m2. The first is the total time spent below threshold, in minutes. The second is the cumulative low-output burden, defined as the integral over time of the difference between the threshold and the measured cardiac index, taken only where that difference is positive. Dimensional analysis reduces the unit of burden to L/m2, a body-surface-indexed volume of undelivered flow, which multiplied by body surface area yields an absolute flow deficit in liters. Time below threshold describes how long the exposure lasts and cumulative burden describes how deep it is. The two together define the exposure, and neither alone is sufficient.
Secondary outcomes are the same two measures computed at cardiac index thresholds of 2.2 and 2.5 L/min/m2; the incidence of PiLCOs, defined as at least one measurement below 2.0 L/min/m2 within the window; the time-weighted average depth across the window and the median depth sustained while below threshold; the distribution of cumulative burden across the three consecutive ten-minute segments of the window; and the time from induction to the first measurement below threshold.
Exploratory analyses will examine the association between the presence and the magnitude of PiLCOs and the postoperative course, including acute kidney injury, serum lactate, duration of mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit and hospital length of stay, and mortality. All outcome analyses are treated as exploratory and hypothesis-generating, and no adjustment is made for multiple comparisons.
Sample size was derived from an internal pilot of 30 patients, comprising the first 15 consecutive patients enrolled at each centre. In that pilot the standard deviation of time below threshold was 8.14 min and the incidence of PiLCOs was 70.0%. Setting the half-width of the 95% confidence interval at 1.7 min for mean time below threshold requires 88 patients, and setting it at 9.5 percentage points for incidence requires 90; the larger figure was carried forward and rounded to 90, allocated as 45 patients per centre. Allowing 15% for withdrawal, protocol deviation and unusable recordings gives a planned enrollment of 104 patients. Because the study estimates the frequency and the magnitude of an event that has not previously been characterized, rather than testing a prespecified superiority hypothesis, sample size is based on the precision of estimation rather than on power.
Eligibility criteria
This trial does not accept healthy volunteersQualifiers
Age 18 years or older.
Scheduled for elective or emergency cardiac or non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia.
Availability of peri-operative cardiac output monitoring using the MostCare hemodynamic monitoring system, starting before induction of anesthesia and continuing during surgery.
Availability of required baseline preoperative clinical and laboratory data.
Disqualifiers
Age under 18 years
Coronary artery bypass grafting combined with valve or aortic surgery
Preoperative mechanical circulatory support
Preoperative infusion of an inotrope or a vasopressor
Trial population
Adults scheduled for isolated coronary artery bypass grafting with cardiopulmonary bypass at two tertiary cardiovascular surgery centre. Patients are approached before induction of anesthesia and enrolled consecutively. Every eligible patient during the enrollment period enters the cohort and no selection is applied.
Trial design
Cohort
Prospective
Treatments tested in this trial
routine clinical monitoring, observed only
Other interventionroutine clinical monitoring, observed only
Treatment groups
Trial outcomes
Primary outcomes
Time below threshold: total duration with a cardiac index below 2.0 L/min/m2, in minutes
The total duration for which cardiac index lies below 2.0 L/min/m2 during the analysis window, expressed in minutes. Cardiac index is recorded continuously at 30-second intervals by arterial waveform analysis. Duration is computed between consecutive measurement pairs by the trapezoidal rule with linear interpolation, and threshold crossings are located exactly rather than rounded to the sampling grid. Intervals between consecutive measurements longer than the sampling period are not counted as observed time. The period of cardiopulmonary bypass is excluded.
Cumulative low-output burden: time integral of the cardiac index deficit below 2.0 L/min/m2, in L/m2
The integral over time of the difference between the threshold of 2.0 L/min/m2 and the measured cardiac index, taken only where that difference is positive, during the analysis window. Under dimensional analysis the unit reduces to L/m2, a volume of undelivered flow indexed to body surface area; multiplied by body surface area it yields an absolute flow deficit in litres. Computation, handling of gaps in the record, exclusion of the cardiopulmonary bypass period and the absence of artefact filtering are as described for time below threshold. Time below threshold states how long the exposure lasted and cumulative burden states how deep it was. The two are reported together because neither is sufficient alone.
Secondary outcomes
Incidence of PiLCOs: proportion of patients with a cardiac index below 2.0 L/min/m2, in percent
The proportion of patients in whom cardiac index falls below 2.0 L/min/m2 on at least one occasion during the analysis window. A patient contributes to the numerator irrespective of how long the exposure lasts or how deep it is, so this measure describes how common the event is rather than how severe. The confidence interval is constructed by the Wilson score method.
Time below threshold at a cardiac index of 2.2 L/min/m2, in minutes
The total duration for which cardiac index lies below 2.2 L/min/m2 during the analysis window, defined and computed exactly as for the primary outcome but at the higher threshold. Reported so that the findings do not depend on a single threshold.
Cumulative low-output burden at a cardiac index of 2.2 L/min/m2, in L/m2
The integral over time of the difference between the threshold of 2.2 L/min/m2 and the measured cardiac index, taken only where that difference is positive, during the analysis window. Defined and computed exactly as for the primary outcome but at the higher threshold.
Time below threshold at a cardiac index of 2.5 L/min/m2, in minutes
The total duration for which cardiac index lies below 2.5 L/min/m2 during the analysis window, defined and computed exactly as for the primary outcome but at the highest of the three thresholds.
Other outcomes
Postoperative acute kidney injury, in number of patients
Acute kidney injury after surgery, classified by the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria from serial serum creatinine measurements and urine output. Examined for association with the presence and the magnitude of PiLCOs. This analysis is exploratory and hypothesis-generating; the number of covariates admitted to any model is limited by the rule of at least ten events per variable and no adjustment is made for multiple comparisons.
Peak postoperative serum lactate, in mmol/L
The highest serum lactate concentration recorded after surgery, examined for association with the presence and the magnitude of PiLCOs. Exploratory.
Duration of postoperative mechanical ventilation, in hours
The interval from arrival in the intensive care unit to extubation, examined for association with the presence and the magnitude of PiLCOs. Exploratory.
Length of intensive care unit stay, in hours
The interval from admission to the intensive care unit to discharge from it, examined for association with the presence and the magnitude of PiLCOs. Exploratory.
Sponsors and contacts
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Ataturk University
Lead sponsor
Ankara City Hospital Bilkent
Collaborator