Predicting Adverse Outcomes Using Machine Learning of COPD Patients in Hong Kong

Trial statusRecruiting
Trial phaseNot listed
Trial typeObservational
Biological sexAll
Age40+
SponsorChinese University of Hong Kong

About this trial

This study aims to develop predictive models for patients with a diagnosis of COPD at discharge of an index admission on these outcomes using machine learning:

Primary outcome: Early admission

Secondary outcomes:

1. Frequent readmission 2. Composite outcome (Early + Frequent readmissions) 3. Mortality 4. Longstayers

Eligibility criteria

This trial does not accept healthy volunteers

Qualifiers

≥40 years

Patients are discharged from 2016 -2022

Discharge Diagnosis: Using the Discharge Diagnosis ICD Codes found in the Primary Diagnosis to determine if a patient has COPD

Disqualifiers

Admission diagnosis due to causes other than COPD

Trial population

Patients are discharged from 2016 -2022 from hospital for acute exacerbation of COPD

Trial design

Design model

Ecologic or community

Time perspective

Retrospective

Treatments tested in this trial

  • No intervention

    Other intervention

    No intervention

Treatment groups

No treatment groups listed

Trial outcomes

Primary outcomes

1

Early Readmission

Patients were readmitted to hospital with the primary diagnosis of AECOPD\* within 30 days since the discharge date of the index admission

Time frame
30 days

Secondary outcomes

1

Frequent Admitters

\- Patients with 3 or more admissions (Index Admission + 2 or more admissions) within 365 days from the admission date of the index admission

Time frame
365 days
2

1-Year Mortality

\- Patients who died within 365 days from the discharge date of the index admission

Time frame
365 days
3

Longstayers

\- Patients who had admissions(s) with a cumulative length of stay of \> 21 days within 1 year after the discharge date of the index admission

Time frame
365 days

Other outcomes

Sponsors and contacts

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