Developing Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Driven Tools to Predict Vascular Disease Risk and Progression: the Prospective VASCUL-AID Study

Trial statusNot yet recruiting
Trial phaseNot listed
Trial typeObservational
Biological sexAll
Age40-90
SponsorAmsterdam UMC

About this trial

Introduction:

Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) are vascular conditions associated with significant morbidity and mortality, with 25% of AAA patients and 23% of PAD patients being at a high risk of developing cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular risk management can reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in AAA patients from 43% to 14%. However, cardiovascular risk is not always adequately addressed in these patients. The VASCUL-AID-PRO study aims to deliver clinically relevant prediction models using artificial intelligence and machine learning of patient outcomes to enable personalized management of vascular disease.

Method:

VASCUL-AID-PRO is a multi-centre international prospective cross-sectional study aiming to include 500 AAA patients and 600 PAD patients across 6 European centres. The aim is to achieve a follow-up time up to 4 years.

The study will include individuals aged 40-90 with either an abdominal aortic aneurysm (infrarenal, juxtarenal, pararenal, or suprarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm) or Fontaine stage 2 peripheral arterial disease.

The VASCUL-AID-PRO study will gather a variety of data from all participants, including clinical data, blood and tissue samples, cardiovascular lab values, imaging data, electrocardiograms, data from wearables and quality of life.

This data gathered will be used to further develop the multi model prediction models being developed on 5000 AAA and 6000 PAD patients included in the currently ongoing VASCUL-AID-RETRO study, with the aim of providing a clinically relevant prediction models of disease progression and other cardiovascular disease for AAA and PAD patients.

Furthermore, the models developed in the VASCUL-AID studies will be internally validated using a subset of patients from the VASCUL-AID-PRO study.

Ethical considerations:

Ethical and legal considerations are paramount throughout the VASCUL-AID project. To address these concerns, an ELSI framework will be developed and integrated into all stages of the project. This framework will be continuously updated to ensure alignment with evolving ethical, legal, and social standards. This framework will specifically focus on patient safety, data handling, AI regulation and implementation, and potential biases associated with AI.

Eligibility criteria

This trial does not accept healthy volunteers

Qualifiers

Males/females between 40 and 90 years of age.

Males and females with AAA at inclusion, any diameter >3 cm (or 1.5x larger than their non-dilated part of the aorta).

Include: infrarenal, juxtarenal, pararenal, suprarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms.

Disqualifiers

Insufficient schooling or sensorial deficits that interfere understanding informed consent.

Not able to use the VASCUL-AID mobile health app (that will be provided in Dutch, English, German, Portuguese, Serbian, Finish, Swedish languages).

Proven or highly suspected for infected, mycotic AAA

Previous AAA surgery or planned for an AAA surgery within 6 months

Trial population

A total of 100 AAA patients and 100 PAD will be included per clinical center, with exeption for Asklepios Hamburg, they will solely include 100 PAD patients. This comes to a total of 1100 patients across 6 clinical centers in Europe.

Trial design

Design model

Cohort

Time perspective

Prospective

Treatments tested in this trial

Not listed

Trial groups

1,100 Participants
are grouped into 2 trial groups
Group A: AAA
Group B: PAD

Trial outcomes

Primary outcomes

1

Development and internal validation of AI-driven tools to predict high or low risk disease progression in AAA and PAD.

The VASCUL-AID AI tools aim to predict AAA (rupture, mortality, cerebrovascular accident) and PAD (mortality, myocardial infarction, major amputation) progression, MACE and MALE. The internal validation is done by comparing the predicted disease progression, MACE, MALE and mortality rates with actual disease progression.

Time frame
From baseline to 4 years follow-up.

Secondary outcomes

1

Accuracy of developed VASCUL-AID driven algorithms that classify AAA patients according to high or low risk disease progression.

Accuracy of developed VASCUL-AID AI-driven algorithms that classify AAA patients according to high or low risk disease progression and MACE. In addition, models will be developed on the other predefined outcomes from the core outcome set, these include: clinical success after an operation \[yes/no\], graft infection after an operation \[yes/no\], reintervention \[yes/no\], the AAA can be treated through endovascular treatment \[yes/no\], adherence to prescribed drugs \[yes/no\], secondary prevention, treatment options and complications.

Time frame
From baseline to 4 years follow-up
2

Accuracy of developed VASCUL-AID driven algorithms that classify PAD patients according to high or low risk disease progression.

Accuracy of developed VASCUL-AID AI-driven algorithms that classify PAD patients according to high or low risk disease progression, MALE and MACE. In addition, models will be developed on the other predefined outcomes from the core outcome set, these include: acute limb ischemia \[yes/no\], thromboembolic complications \[yes/no\], disease progression \[yes/no\], pain-free walking distance \[meters\], physical activity, smoking cessation, secondary prevention, treatment options and complications.

Time frame
From baseline to 4 years follow-up
3

Patient reported outcome measures for AAA and PAD.

Good communication by healthcare worker about diagnosis \[Questionnaires\].

Time frame
From baseline to 4 years follow-up.
4

Patient reported outcome measures for health-related quality of life.

Numeric (Pain) Rating Scale (0-10, no pain to most intense pain).

Time frame
From baseline to 4 year follow-up.

Other outcomes

Locations

This trial has no locations.

Sponsors and contacts

Click on the lead sponsor to view all of their trials.

Amsterdam UMC

Lead sponsor

Amsterdam UMC, location VUmc

Collaborator

Academisch Medisch Centrum - Universiteit van Amsterdam (AMC-UvA)

Collaborator

Brightfish

Collaborator

Technical University of Twente

Collaborator

Universidade do Porto

Collaborator

Aveiro University

Collaborator

Centro Hospitalar De São João, E.P.E.

Collaborator

Stichting Allai

Collaborator

University of Belgrade

Collaborator

Hospital District of Helsinki and Uusimaa

Collaborator

VINČA INSTITUTE OF NUCLEAR SCIENCES Belgrado

Collaborator

University of Bergen

Collaborator

Asklepios Kliniken Hamburg GmbH

Collaborator

Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Nice

Collaborator

University of Oxford

Collaborator

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