Validating a Multifactorial Algorithm to Predict Fall Risk in Community Dwelling Older Persons Aged 65 Years or Older

Trial statusRecruiting
Trial phaseNot listed
Trial typeObservational
Biological sexAll
Age65+
SponsorUniversity Ghent

About this trial

Falls in older adults have an annual incidence between 23 and 34% for persons of 65 years and older. The lack of transfer of promising research results on falls prevention to daily practice may have several explanations. One of the first concerns for that matter may be a valid and sensitive selection of the persons at risk who are eligible for fall prevention interventions

Goals of the prospective obeservational study:

1. To validate a new, comprehensive, multifactorial screeningsintrument to predict the risk on falls in community dwelling, Belgian, older adults (\>65years or older). 2. To optimize the new, comprehensive, multifactorial screeningsintrument and to specify correct cut off scores

Researchers will compare the data of the accuracy of new algorithm with the current Belgian policy.

Participants will participate in a one-time testing moment, where they will be asked some questions about general characteristics and medical history, followed by two questionnaire and seven physical tests . Based on this data, their fall risk will be assessed. In the year that follows, the older person's fall behavior will be monitored with a monthly falls calender. Participant will be asked to fill out these calenders everyday ('Did you fall today?' YES/NO) and send them at the end of each month to the researchers, digitally or postal.

Eligibility criteria

This trial accepts healthy volunteers

Qualifiers

65years or older

community dwellers

absence of surgery or exacerbation of symptoms in the last 6 months

ability to stand and walk independently (alone), possibly with an walking aid.

Disqualifiers

<65 years of age

surgery within the previous 6 months affecting gait and mobility

exacerbation of symptoms coming from a diagnosed disease

older adults with insufficient (language) comprehension to complete the tests and questionnaires

Trial population

Community dwelling, belgian older adults

Trial design

Design model

Cohort

Time perspective

Prospective

Treatments tested in this trial

  • Multifactorial algorithm to predict fall risk

    Diagnostic test

    In this new multifactorial algorithm we will add baseline data (personal characteristics, medical history, and physical and psychological measurements) to predict an older adults risk on falls. The accuracy of this new model will be tested with a 1-year follow up on falls. The new algorithm is inspired by the study of Lusardi et al. (2017): Lusardi MM, Fritz S, Middleton A, Allison L, Wingood M, Phillips E, Criss M, Verma S, Osborne J, Chui KK. Determining Risk of Falls in Community Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Using Posttest Probability. J Geriatr Phys Ther. 2017 Jan/Mar;40(1):1-36. doi: 10.1519/JPT.0000000000000099. PMID: 27537070; PMCID: PMC5158094.

Treatment groups

No treatment groups listed

Trial outcomes

Primary outcomes

1

Conducted analysis of integraded tests

Fall risk calculated with the new multifactorial algorithm based on: * general, personal characteristics * medical history * physical measurements * self reported questionnaires

Time frame
Baseline
2

Number of falls among Belgian, community dwelling older adults

The number of falls measured with a monthly falls calender

Time frame
1 year

Secondary outcomes

1

Depression

Measured with the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-16)

Time frame
Baseline
2

Fear of falling

Measured with the Falls Efficacy Scale (FES-I)

Time frame
Baseline
3

Functional mobility

Measured with the Timed Up and Go (seconds)

Time frame
Baseline
4

Executive cognitive capacity

Measured with the Timed Up and Go in combination with a cognitive dual task (100-3-3-3-...) (seconds)

Time frame
Baseline

Other outcomes

Sponsors and contacts

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