About this trial
This prospective multicenter cohort study evaluates the predictive value of the Adaptive Load Index (ICA), a composite indicator derived from the WB6Dim well-being instrument, on long-duration sick leave (≥ 30 days) in French companies at a 6-month horizon. In France, 7% of sick leave episodes (those exceeding 6 months) account for 45% of total sickness benefit expenditure (Cour des Comptes 2024). Group disability insurance charges rose +24.4% in 2024 (France Assureurs 2025). Critically, a substantial proportion of long-duration sick leave occurs without prior escalation in administrative absence data - the 'cliff effect' - where presenteeism masks progressive deterioration (Gustafsson \& Marklund 2011). Prediction models based solely on absence history plateau at AUC 0.65 for cumulative days (Roelen 2013), while composite psychometric instruments reach C-index 0.73-0.74 (Airaksinen et al. 2018, SJWEH). The WB6Dim is a validated 28-item psychometric tool measuring 9 dimensions of workplace well-being (NCT07301879, NCT07433764; test-retest ICA .904). The ICA classifies respondents into 4 adaptive load levels. Aggregated at the company level, the ICA distribution may detect deterioration during the presenteeism window, before costly sick leave materializes. The study collects 4 WB6Dim assessments over 6 months alongside company-level absence data stratified by duration (2024-2026) and individual self-reported absence data (duration and episode count). Six pre-registered hypotheses test whether ICA predicts long-duration leave, including an exploratory hypothesis targeting companies with no prior absence signal but degraded well-being scores.
Eligibility criteria
This trial accepts healthy volunteersQualifiers
Employee of a participating French company (≥ 50 employees)
Age 18 years or older
Access to a smartphone or computer to complete the digital questionnaire
Electronic informed consent provided at baseline
Disqualifiers
Refusal to participate or withdrawal of consent
Inability to complete the questionnaire in French
Trial population
Employees of French companies with 50 or more employees, recruited through employer participation agreements. Companies are sourced through occupational health networks and direct outreach. All employees meeting inclusion criteria within participating companies are eligible regardless of job type, contract status, or health condition.
Trial design
Cohort
Prospective
Treatments tested in this trial
Not listed
Trial groups
Trial outcomes
Primary outcomes
Company-level incidence rate of sick leave episodes ≥ 30 days over 6 months, as measured from aggregated HR records
Company-level incidence of sick leave episodes lasting 30 days or more, measured from aggregated HR data provided by each participating company for the period June-November 2026. This threshold marks the transition from short-term to long-term sickness absence in the French social security system and is associated with sharply reduced return-to-work probability.
Secondary outcomes
Company-level incidence rate of sick leave episodes ≥ 90 days over 6 months, as measured from aggregated HR records
Company-level incidence of sick leave episodes lasting 90 days or more, corresponding to long-term illness (affection de longue durée) classification and elevated risk of permanent disability transition.
Number of employees with ≥ 3 distinct absence episodes within 6 months per company, as measured from aggregated HR records
Company-level count of employees with 3 or more distinct absence episodes within a 6-month period. Repeated short absences are an established early marker of subsequent long-duration leave (Koopmans 2008, RR=1.9; Hultin 2012, OR=2.0).
Self-reported cumulative absence duration and episode count, as measured by WB6Dim questionnaire items
Self-reported work absence collected via two items in the WB6Dim questionnaire. Item 1: cumulative duration (0 / 1-7 days / 8-30 days / 31-90 days / \>90 days). Item 2: number of separate episodes (0 / 1 / 2 / 3+). Each assessment covers the period since the previous measurement.
Change in collective ICA distribution from baseline to 3 months as a predictor of sick leave ≥ 30 days between 3 and 6 months
Change in collective ICA distribution between baseline and 3 months (slope of degradation) as a predictor of sick leave ≥ 30 days observed between 3 and 6 months post-enrollment. Tests whether longitudinal worsening of collective well-being adds predictive value beyond static baseline measurement.
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